Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 7.818170e-05 0.000093 0.000109 0.000128 0.000148 0.000170 0.000195
2025-02-02 6.069942e-05 0.000080 0.000103 0.000130 0.000162 0.000197 0.000240
2025-02-09 4.926154e-05 0.000071 0.000096 0.000128 0.000167 0.000212 0.000267
2025-02-16 4.291632e-05 0.000066 0.000095 0.000133 0.000180 0.000236 0.000306
2025-02-23 3.688870e-05 0.000061 0.000092 0.000134 0.000188 0.000252 0.000334
2025-03-02 2.950243e-05 0.000053 0.000085 0.000129 0.000187 0.000259 0.000351
2025-03-09 2.417868e-05 0.000047 0.000079 0.000126 0.000188 0.000266 0.000368
2025-03-16 2.045474e-05 0.000043 0.000076 0.000125 0.000192 0.000277 0.000391
2025-03-23 1.778327e-05 0.000040 0.000074 0.000126 0.000198 0.000291 0.000416
2025-03-30 1.499008e-05 0.000036 0.000071 0.000124 0.000201 0.000300 0.000436
2025-04-06 1.217723e-05 0.000032 0.000066 0.000121 0.000200 0.000306 0.000450
2025-04-13 1.055517e-05 0.000030 0.000065 0.000122 0.000206 0.000318 0.000474
2025-04-20 7.814376e-06 0.000026 0.000059 0.000116 0.000203 0.000321 0.000487
2025-04-27 6.507931e-06 0.000024 0.000058 0.000118 0.000210 0.000337 0.000517
2025-05-04 5.161267e-06 0.000022 0.000055 0.000117 0.000213 0.000348 0.000541
2025-05-11 4.577255e-06 0.000021 0.000056 0.000121 0.000224 0.000370 0.000580
2025-05-18 3.793172e-06 0.000020 0.000055 0.000122 0.000230 0.000385 0.000610
2025-05-25 2.642741e-06 0.000017 0.000050 0.000117 0.000227 0.000387 0.000621
2025-06-01 1.880265e-06 0.000014 0.000047 0.000114 0.000226 0.000392 0.000637
2025-06-08 1.401257e-06 0.000013 0.000045 0.000113 0.000229 0.000402 0.000660
2025-06-15 1.090127e-06 0.000012 0.000044 0.000114 0.000235 0.000416 0.000688
2025-06-22 7.684360e-07 0.000011 0.000043 0.000113 0.000237 0.000425 0.000710
2025-06-29 4.746667e-07 0.000009 0.000040 0.000110 0.000236 0.000429 0.000724